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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50300204060801001205439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.7
22.523.2
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 7.3
5587
#12
18.30.7
13.113.7
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
4821
#21
14.90.7
13.714.5
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 4.4
9033
#29
10.50.7
8.08.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Third
12.40.7
6.77.4
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 2.6
5243
#23
9.90.7
8.18.8
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed