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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25940501503772

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5549
#10
16.40.1
13.813.8
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 28.4
44.80.5
41.741.3
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
8590
#28
11.40.1
10.210.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 12.1
539
#8
23.50.5
21.421.0
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Third
612
#32
7.10.1
6.86.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 7.5
9235
#26
14.70.5
13.613.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed