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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424701001502004643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#6
20.80.5
17.618.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
red by 2.2
4472
#15
18.60.1
18.418.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Second
2028
#11
11.60.5
11.111.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 4.3
116
#14
15.90.1
12.913.0
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
8230
#30
10.50.5
10.210.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 2.5
339
#24
12.90.1
10.510.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed