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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274302060802933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.2
12.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 3.8
4821
#21
14.90.3
14.514.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Second
3359
#34
9.50.2
10.410.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 5.0
2186
#16
14.60.3
13.613.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
2912
#33
6.00.2
3.73.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 3.9
5243
#23
9.90.3
8.88.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed