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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4160020801006576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#12
18.30.7
13.714.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 7.3
25.60.8
23.224.1
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
5549
#10
16.40.7
13.814.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 4.4
620
#6
20.80.8
18.118.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
Third
2028
#11
11.60.7
11.612.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 0.2
8590
#28
11.40.8
10.311.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed