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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494702060801001201401604354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#5
21.90.4
20.620.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
blue by 4.9
26.80.3
24.424.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
Second
9235
#26
14.70.4
13.212.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
red by 0.5
2421
#25
14.20.3
9.910.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
339
#24
12.90.4
10.610.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
red by 2.5
9033
#29
10.50.3
8.78.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned