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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060801001205230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#13
24.80.7
25.826.5
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
red by 3.0
619
#20
21.80.7
20.219.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Second
623
#22
11.40.7
7.48.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 4.5
116
#14
15.90.7
13.012.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
5243
#23
9.90.7
8.59.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 2.7
612
#32
7.10.7
6.86.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed