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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions982704060801201401609432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.8
41.342.0
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 27.6
3373
#19
17.10.1
15.915.8
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Second
20.20.8
20.721.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
red by 5.6
2186
#16
14.60.1
13.413.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
4472
#15
18.60.8
18.419.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
red by 12.6
2912
#33
6.00.1
3.93.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed