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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57592040801006635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
24.724.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 5.1
619
#20
21.81.2
19.618.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Second
18.70.0
14.614.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 0.1
4472
#15
18.61.2
19.218.0
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Third
2028
#11
11.60.0
12.312.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 6.7
5587
#12
18.31.2
14.413.2
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed