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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060801004627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.3
21.521.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
blue by 4.6
401
#13
24.81.4
26.525.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
9033
#29
10.50.3
8.98.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 1.0
8590
#28
11.41.4
11.19.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Third
611
#17
9.70.3
10.810.4
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 0.9
1915
#31
8.81.4
10.28.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed