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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904102060801001201408339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.5
42.042.5
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 21.2
539
#8
23.50.4
21.921.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
122
#5
21.90.5
20.220.7
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 11.4
8230
#30
10.50.4
10.19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
2186
#16
14.60.5
13.313.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
red by 5.0
3359
#34
9.50.4
10.610.3
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed