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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414902060801003664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#6
20.80.2
18.918.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
blue by 4.0
401
#13
24.80.0
25.125.1
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
5587
#12
18.30.2
13.213.1
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 5.9
12.40.0
9.79.7
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
612
#32
7.10.2
6.26.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 3.3
9033
#29
10.50.0
8.68.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned