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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175204060801001935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1915
#31
8.80.0
8.88.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 16.8
25.60.5
24.023.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
2900
#27
6.80.0
6.96.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
blue by 6.2
339
#24
12.90.5
10.810.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
2912
#33
6.00.0
3.83.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 3.4
1885
#18
9.30.5
8.57.9
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed