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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503902060801005860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#15
18.60.9
18.018.9
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
blue by 0.1
18.70.9
14.615.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Second
5549
#10
16.40.9
15.116.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
red by 1.7
9235
#26
14.70.9
13.214.1
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
2421
#25
14.20.9
10.711.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 2.7
623
#22
11.40.9
9.09.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed