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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349203040607080905921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.8
24.725.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 6.7
20.21.6
21.219.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
Second
116
#14
15.90.8
12.813.6
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
red by 1.4
2186
#16
14.61.6
13.812.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
8230
#30
10.50.8
9.710.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
blue by 1.0
8590
#28
11.41.6
9.88.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed