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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801004725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#5
21.90.3
20.721.0
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 10.3
2028
#11
11.60.2
12.212.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Second
12.40.3
9.710.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 2.9
3359
#34
9.50.2
10.310.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
611
#17
9.70.3
10.410.7
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 2.6
612
#32
7.10.2
6.05.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed