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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567820401001205777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#8
23.50.1
21.521.4
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 21.2
44.80.1
42.542.7
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
619
#20
21.80.1
18.318.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 4.6
3373
#19
17.10.1
16.416.5
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
4821
#21
14.90.1
13.413.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 5.0
5243
#23
9.90.1
9.19.3
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned