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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34390102030506070805370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9235
#26
14.71.4
14.115.6
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
blue by 3.7
5587
#12
18.32.2
13.115.3
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
9033
#29
10.51.4
8.610.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 5.5
116
#14
15.92.2
13.615.8
Auto7.6
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
1915
#31
8.81.4
8.810.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.0
End0.1
blue by 2.6
8590
#28
11.42.2
8.210.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned