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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3644010203040506070804448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.6
19.620.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
red by 3.8
5549
#10
16.40.5
16.016.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Second
1885
#18
9.30.6
7.98.5
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
blue by 5.2
2186
#16
14.60.5
12.212.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
612
#32
7.10.6
5.86.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
blue by 3.3
8230
#30
10.50.5
10.511.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed