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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6240020801001208656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.8
23.425.3
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 4.8
620
#6
20.81.2
18.819.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
Second
619
#20
21.81.8
18.320.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
red by 9.3
12.41.2
10.011.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
2421
#25
14.21.8
11.713.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 2.7
623
#22
11.41.2
9.811.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed