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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5570204060801005063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#13
24.80.4
25.124.8
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 19.9
44.80.2
42.742.5
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
Second
3373
#19
17.10.4
16.516.1
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
red by 5.5
2028
#11
11.60.2
12.011.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Third
3359
#34
9.50.4
10.09.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 2.8
2900
#27
6.80.2
6.96.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed