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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66280204060801001206140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#5
21.90.2
21.021.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.3
End1.7
red by 9.0
339
#24
12.90.3
10.210.5
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Second
18.70.2
15.515.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
red by 8.8
5243
#23
9.90.3
9.39.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Third
4472
#15
18.60.2
18.919.2
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
red by 8.8
611
#17
9.70.3
10.711.0
Auto2.0
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed