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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70290204060801001206846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.0
25.525.4
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 3.3
539
#8
23.50.5
21.421.9
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
620
#6
20.80.0
19.919.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.8
red by 13.7
612
#32
7.10.5
6.46.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.4
End1.7
Third
4821
#21
14.90.0
13.313.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 8.9
2912
#33
6.00.5
3.74.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed