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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5352204060801004842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.0
25.325.3
Auto6.9
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 0.8
401
#13
24.80.3
24.824.4
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
2186
#16
14.60.0
12.712.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 0.1
9235
#26
14.70.3
15.615.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.0
End0.9
Third
3359
#34
9.50.0
9.69.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 2.8
2900
#27
6.80.3
6.76.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed