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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31540204060801005335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#12
18.31.5
15.316.8
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 0.2
4472
#15
18.60.8
19.218.4
Auto7.1
Teleop9.8
End1.7
Second
12.41.5
11.112.6
Auto2.1
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 4.7
3373
#19
17.10.8
16.115.4
Auto8.7
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
2912
#33
6.01.5
4.25.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
blue by 5.5
623
#22
11.40.8
11.010.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed