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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96280204060801201409233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.9
42.543.4
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 30.6
2421
#25
14.20.1
13.513.4
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Second
26.80.9
25.426.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End6.4
red by 16.4
8230
#30
10.50.1
11.010.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
8590
#28
11.40.9
10.411.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
red by 2.1
1885
#18
9.30.1
8.58.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsEarned2%Ensemble oddsMissed