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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594520801001205148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#20
21.80.1
20.120.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
blue by 1.8
539
#8
23.50.3
21.921.6
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
20.20.1
20.220.1
Auto7.0
Teleop12.5
End0.7
red by 7.2
339
#24
12.90.3
10.510.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Third
2028
#11
11.60.1
11.811.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.0
End1.3
red by 1.1
9033
#29
10.50.3
10.19.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned