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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7539020601001207681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.7
43.444.1
Auto20.9
Teleop19.9
End3.9
red by 26.1
18.71.7
16.518.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End2.8
Second
623
#22
11.40.7
10.211.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End2.0
blue by 3.5
4821
#21
14.91.7
13.214.9
Auto7.0
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
9033
#29
10.50.7
9.810.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End0.8
blue by 2.5
339
#24
12.91.7
10.212.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed