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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060803854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#25
14.20.1
13.413.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 4.2
5587
#12
18.31.1
16.817.9
Auto9.0
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
8590
#28
11.40.1
11.311.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End1.8
blue by 3.1
2186
#16
14.61.1
12.713.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End2.0
Third
5243
#23
9.90.1
9.49.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
red by 0.5
1885
#18
9.31.1
8.49.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed