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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47572040801006056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#8
23.50.4
21.622.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 1.3
401
#13
24.80.3
24.424.7
Auto11.9
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
5549
#10
16.40.4
15.716.1
Auto6.7
Teleop8.9
End0.7
blue by 5.4
619
#20
21.80.3
20.020.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Third
2900
#27
6.80.4
6.46.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.8
red by 0.8
2912
#33
6.00.3
5.76.0
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed