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Red52
210621.5
202812.1
62024.0
Blue22
99994.8
289013.4
3399.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6534020801001201405222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#7
24.00.2
21.721.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End1.5
red by 10.7
2890
#27
13.41.0
16.215.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Second
2106
#16
21.50.2
21.921.7
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.1
red by 11.7
339
#20
9.81.0
12.211.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
12.10.2
11.611.4
Auto5.8
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 7.3
9999
#21
4.81.6
8.46.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed