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Red41
10868.1
337322.5
8230-0.3
Blue17
600411.3
99944.8
15225.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47260204060801001204117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3373
#25
22.50.1
23.823.8
Auto10.3
Teleop9.7
End2.5
red by 11.2
6004
#32
11.31.0
16.215.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End1.0
Second
1086
#13
8.10.1
11.311.4
Auto5.2
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 2.3
1522
#17
5.81.0
9.48.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Third
8230
#28
-0.30.1
4.84.9
Auto2.2
Teleop-2.3
End-0.2
blue by 5.1
9994
#15
4.81.7
7.05.3
Auto1.9
Teleop1.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed