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Red64
10868.1
99994.8
173136.4
Blue37
236320.0
48616.6
40115.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625702040801006437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.5
39.139.6
Auto15.9
Teleop14.6
End6.0
red by 16.4
20.01.4
21.620.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Second
1086
#13
8.10.5
11.411.8
Auto5.2
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 7.1
401
#23
15.21.4
19.718.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.8
End0.5
Third
9999
#21
4.80.8
6.77.5
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 1.8
4861
#31
6.61.4
11.29.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed