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Red46
62024.0
17938.2
15225.8
Blue66
580430.9
210621.5
12225.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341080501502004666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#7
24.00.2
21.521.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.9
End1.5
blue by 6.8
5804
#11
30.91.5
39.538.0
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Second
1793
#22
8.20.2
8.58.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 17.1
122
#6
25.41.5
27.526.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End2.1
Third
1522
#17
5.80.2
8.38.6
Auto1.4
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 15.7
2106
#16
21.51.5
21.720.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed