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Red44
159922.2
8230-0.3
289013.4
Blue46
373716.5
3399.8
903221.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495601002003004005006004446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#12
22.21.1
24.923.9
Auto5.3
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 1.0
9032
#14
21.20.2
20.920.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
2890
#27
13.41.1
15.314.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 3.1
16.50.2
17.317.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.9
End1.4
Third
8230
#28
-0.31.1
4.93.8
Auto2.2
Teleop-2.3
End-0.2
blue by 10.1
339
#20
9.80.2
11.210.9
Auto4.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed