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Red51
313628.6
59548.1
97715.0
Blue42
4046.3
533820.7
34634.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375620805142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.61.0
18.319.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
blue by 5.4
346
#2
34.00.4
26.926.5
Auto14.2
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
977
#24
15.01.0
11.612.6
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1
blue by 5.6
20.70.7
15.715.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Third
5954
#28
8.11.0
5.76.7
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
red by 1.8
404
#30
6.30.4
5.95.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed