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Red82
108619.9
126216.0
210627.8
Blue42
580428.4
218611.9
5404.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5047204060801008242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.82.2
16.518.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
blue by 0.5
28.40.4
24.924.5
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Second
1086
#13
19.92.2
17.319.5
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
red by 8.1
11.90.7
14.013.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
1262
#11
16.02.2
10.612.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
red by 11.7
540
#22
4.30.4
4.03.6
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed