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Red36
572419.9
68827.7
206813.1
Blue46
970918.0
42866.3
289019.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294302060803646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#10
19.90.4
11.612.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Level
2890
#14
19.90.6
16.817.4
Auto6.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
2068
#21
13.10.4
12.713.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 4.9
9709
#12
18.00.6
14.915.5
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
6882
#20
7.70.4
3.64.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.9
red by 1.5
4286
#19
6.30.6
5.35.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed