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Red33
152210.0
4046.3
97715.0
Blue46
29888.7
6177.1
313628.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25340102030405060703346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#24
15.00.3
12.612.9
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1
blue by 13.6
28.61.1
19.320.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
1522
#23
10.00.3
5.96.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
red by 1.3
2988
#27
8.71.1
5.56.6
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
404
#30
6.30.3
5.55.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 0.9
617
#18
7.11.1
4.96.0
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed