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Red57
159919.4
61948.1
533820.7
Blue32
59548.1
680221.1
29986.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403930354550555732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.71.8
15.016.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
blue by 0.5
6802
#15
21.10.2
20.019.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Second
19.41.1
15.116.1
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 11.3
5954
#28
8.10.2
6.76.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Third
6194
#25
8.11.1
5.66.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9
red by 1.5
2998
#26
6.50.2
8.38.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed