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Red86
210627.8
152210.0
580428.4
Blue47
29888.7
289019.9
126216.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573820801008647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.42.1
24.526.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 8.4
2890
#14
19.90.5
17.418.0
Auto6.7
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
27.82.1
18.720.8
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
red by 11.8
1262
#11
16.00.5
12.813.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Third
1522
#23
10.02.1
6.28.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
red by 1.3
2988
#27
8.70.5
6.67.2
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed