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Red42
5404.3
159919.4
336113.8
Blue30
29986.5
97715.0
482110.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33352025304045504230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.6
16.116.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 4.4
977
#24
15.00.8
12.912.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.7
End1.1
Second
3361
#16
13.80.6
10.611.2
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
red by 3.1
4821
#29
10.71.3
10.39.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Third
540
#22
4.30.6
3.64.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End0.6
blue by 2.2
2998
#26
6.50.8
8.17.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed