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Red61
680221.1
29888.7
210627.8
Blue70
126216.0
313628.6
393917.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53592030407080901006170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.8
20.821.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
blue by 0.7
28.60.8
21.222.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Second
6802
#15
21.10.8
20.321.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End2.1
red by 3.8
17.30.8
17.818.6
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
2988
#27
8.70.8
7.28.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 7.3
1262
#11
16.00.8
13.314.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned