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Red31
218611.9
336113.8
6177.1
Blue27
59548.1
5404.3
970918.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060801003127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3361
#16
13.80.0
11.211.2
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 4.2
9709
#12
18.00.0
16.216.2
Auto10.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Second
11.90.0
13.413.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 3.8
5954
#28
8.10.0
6.56.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Third
617
#18
7.10.0
6.76.7
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.7
red by 2.8
540
#22
4.30.0
4.24.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed