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Red31
206813.1
61948.1
447217.5
Blue59
572419.9
482110.7
580428.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415620801003159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#17
17.51.6
19.317.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 10.9
28.40.5
26.627.2
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
Second
2068
#21
13.10.9
13.112.2
Auto7.0
Teleop5.3
End0.8
blue by 6.8
5724
#10
19.90.5
13.514.0
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
6194
#25
8.10.9
6.75.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 2.6
4821
#29
10.70.9
9.09.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed