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Red49
159919.4
580428.4
29888.7
Blue66
336113.8
393917.3
108619.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585402040801001204966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.5
27.226.6
Auto7.2
Teleop18.6
End2.6
red by 8.4
1086
#13
19.90.5
19.419.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Second
19.40.5
16.816.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 2.1
17.30.5
18.619.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
Third
2988
#27
8.70.5
8.07.5
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 5.1
3361
#16
13.80.5
11.211.6
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed