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Red32
447217.5
29986.5
161015.2
Blue58
210627.8
68827.7
572419.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424530405060703258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#17
17.51.0
17.716.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.3
End0.9
blue by 10.4
27.81.2
21.722.8
Auto11.3
Teleop16.3
End0.3
Second
15.20.6
13.713.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
blue by 4.7
5724
#10
19.91.2
14.015.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Third
2998
#26
6.50.6
7.36.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.5
End0.3
blue by 1.2
6882
#20
7.71.2
4.86.0
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed