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Red39
218611.9
161015.2
159919.4
Blue25
152210.0
42866.3
336113.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47290204060803925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.4
15.515.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End1.7
red by 5.6
3361
#16
13.80.2
11.611.4
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Second
15.20.4
13.112.7
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End2.2
red by 5.2
1522
#23
10.00.2
9.39.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End0.3
Third
11.90.7
11.711.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 5.6
4286
#19
6.30.2
7.16.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed