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Red60
393917.3
4046.3
61948.1
Blue33
68827.7
29888.7
533820.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323410204050606033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.1
17.817.8
Auto7.6
Teleop7.6
End2.0
blue by 3.3
20.70.3
17.517.8
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
6194
#25
8.10.1
6.96.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 0.6
2988
#27
8.70.2
7.77.9
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Third
404
#30
6.30.1
4.34.4
Auto1.1
Teleop4.7
End0.5
blue by 1.4
6882
#20
7.70.2
5.25.4
Auto4.0
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed