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Red50
572419.9
126216.0
59548.1
Blue59
6177.1
108619.9
34634.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336202040801005059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#10
19.91.1
15.216.3
Auto6.6
Teleop10.8
End2.5
blue by 14.0
346
#2
34.00.4
28.929.3
Auto14.2
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
1262
#11
16.01.1
13.314.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 4.0
1086
#13
19.90.4
19.019.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End1.8
Third
5954
#28
8.11.1
5.26.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.8
End0.5
red by 0.9
617
#18
7.10.4
4.95.3
Auto1.8
Teleop4.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned